Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.183968 0.200188 0.217405 0.237077 0.258980 0.282668 0.310295
2026-02-01 0.152658 0.175065 0.200436 0.231454 0.268576 0.311852 0.366527
2026-02-08 0.132435 0.157550 0.187317 0.225533 0.273774 0.333299 0.413321
2026-02-15 0.118603 0.145191 0.177855 0.221459 0.278944 0.353284 0.458610
2026-02-22 0.110858 0.139153 0.175030 0.224624 0.292624 0.384451 0.521123
2026-03-01 0.102814 0.131778 0.169492 0.223190 0.299348 0.406143 0.572187
2026-03-08 0.095457 0.124581 0.163387 0.220096 0.302976 0.423207 0.617750
2026-03-15 0.088396 0.117181 0.156312 0.214814 0.302615 0.433906 0.654171
2026-03-22 0.085732 0.115588 0.157069 0.220652 0.318927 0.470961 0.736722
2026-03-29 0.082835 0.113409 0.156741 0.224707 0.332662 0.505090 0.818536
2026-04-05 0.079197 0.109892 0.154160 0.225019 0.340347 0.529925 0.887098
2026-04-12 0.074190 0.104055 0.147733 0.218805 0.336797 0.535394 0.920852
2026-04-19 0.069207 0.098088 0.140907 0.211717 0.331606 0.538217 0.951444
2026-04-26 0.065331 0.093599 0.136106 0.207594 0.331147 0.549452 1.000293
2026-05-03 0.061570 0.089077 0.130976 0.202530 0.328565 0.556466 1.041494
2026-05-10 0.058457 0.085390 0.126937 0.198979 0.328289 0.567613 1.092745
2026-05-17 0.056939 0.084110 0.126653 0.201756 0.339618 0.601977 1.199364
2026-05-24 0.054707 0.081574 0.124165 0.200499 0.343311 0.621641 1.276041
2026-05-31 0.052351 0.078719 0.120988 0.197786 0.343971 0.635158 1.340418
2026-06-07 0.049797 0.075421 0.116898 0.193152 0.340507 0.639706 1.383709
2026-06-14 0.049197 0.075297 0.118138 0.198274 0.356594 0.687309 1.542751
2026-06-21 0.048345 0.074705 0.118532 0.201829 0.369815 0.730192 1.697988
2026-06-28 0.046986 0.073194 0.117243 0.202103 0.376278 0.758607 1.819524